Khazin Mikhail Leonidovich official. Khazin, Mikhail Leonidovich Crime in a peasant family

And he was the host of the program "Economy in Russian" on the "Russian News Service". One of the hosts of the program "Economics" on the radio station "Moscow speaking". Author of numerous publications in the magazines "Profile", "Expert", "However". As an invited expert, he repeatedly spoke on the Echo of Moscow radio, the Odnako television program and various Internet channels.

He is the creator and regular author of the Khazin.ru website, which hosts reviews of the state and forecasts for the development of the global and Russian economies, as well as geopolitical analytics.

Biography

Mikhail Khazin is the son of the leading researcher Leonid Grigorievich Khazin. My father studied the theory of stability at the institute. Mother taught higher mathematics in. Khazin's grandfather Grigory Leizerovich received the Stalin Prize in 1949 for his participation in the creation of the Moscow air defense system with the official wording "for the development of new equipment." The younger brother of Mikhail Khazin, Academician of the Russian Academy of Arts Andrey Khazin, was a member of the Council of the Federation, a professor at the State University - Higher School of Economics, currently the head of a department at Moscow State University.

Khazin was born in Moscow on May 5, 1962, graduated from the mathematical class of the 179th school. By his own admission, he dreamed of studying at Moscow State University, but in 1979 he was forced to enter the Yaroslavl State University. In the second year he transferred to the Faculty of Mechanics and Mathematics of Moscow State University, from which he graduated in 1984 with a degree in statistics (Department of Probability Theory). According to the distribution, he got into Alan Grivtsov, where he was engaged in the theoretical substantiation of applied problems of chemical physics from 1984 to 1989. On the website of the Physical Institute. Lebedev, abstracts of several works of Khazin on statistical physics are given.

In 1992, he headed the analytical department of ELBIM Bank, and in 1993 he moved to the civil service. In 1993-1994, Khazin was an employee of the working center for economic reforms under the Government of Russia. Since 1994, he worked at the Ministry of Economy, in 1995-1997 he headed the credit policy department of the ministry. According to Khazin, in 1996 he was supposed to become deputy minister (at that time the ministry was headed by Yevgeny Yasin), but the appointment was blocked by Yasin's first deputy, Yakov Urinson. Disagreements with Urinson arose because of Khazin’s report, prepared for the November collegium of the Ministry of Economy on non-payments, in which Khazin argued that “a reduction in the money supply in Russian conditions does not lead to a decrease in inflation, but to an increase” . From 1997 to June 1998 - Deputy Head of the Economic Department of the President of Russia. He is a real State Advisor of the Russian Federation, III class, retired. Khazin believes that he was fired from the public service "for a categorical unwillingness to compromise," and adds that after his dismissal, he was "not allowed to travel abroad for ten years."

From 1998 to 2000 - a private consultant, then until 2002 he worked in the audit and consulting company "Modern Business Technologies", since the end of 2002 - the president of the expert consulting company "Neocon", specializing in strategic forecasting and relations with government agencies (GR ) . At the same time, Khazin, together with Oleg Grigoriev and Andrei Kobyakov, developed the theory of the modern economic crisis, which was reflected in the book “The Decline of the Dollar Empire and the End of Pax Americana”, published in collaboration with Kobyakov in 2003.

From autumn 2002 to spring 2015, he was the President of LLC Neocon Expert Consulting Company. In 2015, he founded the Mikhail Khazin Foundation for Economic Research.

Khazin is a member of the Expert Council "Economics and Ethics" under the Patriarch of Moscow and All Russia.

In 2016, he joined the Rodina political party and participated in the elections to the State Duma in 2016.

Economic theory

Describing his work in the civil service, Khazin says that he considered the main task "to understand how the economy really works and eliminate problems in the way of economic growth" in Russia. In October 1997, the economic department sent a report to the president in which they predicted the development of the crisis in Russia in the summer of 1998, with the current financial and economic policy at that time.

In his annually published forecasts, Khazin consistently develops the theme of the inevitable global economic crisis. His main theses include the impossibility of continuing to stimulate final demand and expanding markets, the fall in financial and economic indicators, the decrease in the level of division of labor and the collapse of the world economy into several currency zones.

Khazin, together with the head of the economic management department, Oleg Vadimovich Grigoriev, after leaving the state service, continued to study the causes of the default. In 2001, while studying the inter-industry balance of the United States, Grigoriev put forward the concept of technological zones. By the end of the year, the main points of the theory had already been formulated and the scale of the expected crisis was visible. Khazin himself sees the main problem of the crisis as the loss of the middle class, which is the basis of the socio-political stability of society. Khazin believes that the main cause of the crisis is the exhaustion of final demand, aggravated by excessive stimulation of consumer demand and uncontrolled issuance of the dollar.

After the crisis, according to Khazin, the US dollar will cease to be a global currency, but will become a regional one, other regional currencies will be: the euro and the yuan; it is also possible - Indian rupee, dinar, ruble and some currency of Latin American countries.

Khazin opposed Russia's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO). He expressed his position at the V International Congress "Open Russia: Partnership for Modernization" on March 25, 2011.

Public performance

Many Russian media outlets, including the RBC-TV channel, Expert and Itogi magazines, slon.ru, Izvestiya and Komsomolskaya Pravda newspapers, and the Interfax newsgroup, refer to Khazin as a well-known Russian economist. According to Professor Dmitry Ognev, Khazin's performances combine lively language and accessibility for a wide audience.

Khazin actively opposes the ideology of neoliberalism, plays the role of the economic "Cassandra" of globalism and the global financial system. He consistently propagates the idea that the West and the American-centric system world economy are doomed for objective reasons of the finiteness of capitalism.

In 2000, the Expert magazine published an article by Khazin and Grigoriev, in which they predicted an economic crisis in the United States, expected in the same year and leading to a drop in average consumption in the world by 1.5-3 times.

On September 10, 2001, at the Expert magazine forum, he warned of a high probability of major terrorist attacks against the United States (http://web.archive.org/web/20040814162047/http://www.expert.ru/tmp/konfold/my18900.htm )

In October 2008, Khazin described the prolonged and large-scale nature of the global financial crisis that had begun, according to estimates arising from his theory, he predicted: “as a result, the US economy will decrease by at least a third. The world will fall by 20 percent. After that, the planet will face 10-12 years of severe depression. In the US and Europe, I think many will be starving. And the car will become a luxury item. Explaining these words in an interview with Pozner, Khazin speaks of a deliberate sharpening of the topic, that he needed to challenge the then prevailing "liberal" idea of the unshakable state of the US economy as "City on a hill".

At the end of 2009, speaking to Ural businessmen, Khazin predicted that the current world economic system would inevitably collapse, the middle class would cease to exist, the WTO would collapse in 2-3 years, but Russia, thanks to this, would have a chance to survive - because all countries will soon have to start from scratch.

In his forecast for 2012, Khazin predicted “the beginning of a powerful emission in the United States, which is almost impossible to avoid. More precisely, it is possible in the event of tightening monetary policy, but before the US elections, such a scenario is unlikely. So, as soon as the emission is launched (at the latest - at the beginning of the summer of 2012, so that it can have a positive impact on the result of the US presidential election, for Obama, of course), energy prices rise sharply and strongly - perhaps up to 150- $200 per barrel. At this moment, many representatives of the Russian elites and managers will have the feeling that happiness has returned, but this prosperity will not last very long. Then, in 3-5 months, a powerful inflationary wave will begin.

In 2013, Khazin made a forecast about the development of the economy of Kazakhstan: “I think it will be possible to maintain 5-7% economic growth even against the backdrop of a global recession. And the world economy will "fall" the way it "fell" in the United States at the time of the Great Depression - by about 30-35%. The GDP of Japan and the EU countries will “fall” by about 50%. US GDP will “fall” somewhere by 55% -60%” .

Khazin regularly acts as a leading or invited expert in the programs of the Russian News Service and Ekho Moskvy radio stations. According to 2013 data, he leads the TOP-7 invited guests of the Ekho Moskvy radio, most often appearing in the Credit of Trust program, and was also the most popular RSN host with the Russian Economy program (in the last issue of 2013 there were announced his departure from the program). Khazin regularly speaks in the genre of "answering listeners' questions live" and gives comments on the topic of the day on RSN and Ekho Moskvy. Khazin was also a repeated guest of the "Opposite to the World" program on the Voice of Russia radio.

In 2007, Khazin hosted the Five in Economics program on the Spas TV channel, which was the only weekly economic program on Russian television at that time. As part of this program, Khazin took an hour-long interview with Lyndon LaRouche, which was broadcast on May 18, 2007 and was widely discussed on the Internet. In 2011, RBC-TV launched a series of programs hosted by Viktor Gerashchenko, Mikhail Khazin and Sergey Aleksashenko. The involvement of well-known economists, according to RBC Holding, made it possible to expand the audience of the channel. Khazin hosted the program "Dialogue with Mikhail Khazin". Khazin is also one of the experts of the television program "However" on Channel One.

Khazin's articles are published by many newspapers and magazines, including Komsomolskaya Pravda and Expert. Until 2009, he was one of the authors of the Profile magazine, after 2009 - of the Odnako magazine. Khazin repeatedly communicated with readers of the Arguments and Facts newspaper, gave forecasts and answered questions. Interviews with Khazin and quotes from his speeches were published in the media outside of Russia: Lithuania, Azerbaijan, Ukraine. Khazin is one of the authors of the information and analytical service "Russian People's Line".

In his review of the book The Decline of the Dollar Empire and the End of Pax Americana, Pavel Bykov notes a huge amount of background information, systematically presented and deeply worked out. He notes that the authors of the book present their vision of the history of the development of the US economy, which is accompanied by a forecast of further events with many scenarios.

In early 2009, Forbes magazine columnist Leonid Bershidsky believed that “Khazin’s economic forecasts, which mainstream economists scoffed at, have recently tended to come true, they are beginning to listen not only to him, but also to those whom he advertises - carriers of even more unequivocal ethical judgments.

In 2009, Khazin's article "Famine will begin in Eastern Europe in three years" was published in the Special Letter newspaper. Vladislav Inozemtsev in a special interview criticized Khazin's article, noting that the article "has some truth and some very serious exaggerations." So, Inozemtsev notes a number of Khazin's incorrect statements, in particular that the United States after the war bought more than it sold, and that there will be famine in Eastern Europe in three years. Khazin Inozemtsev attributes the last judgment to “a symbiosis of alarmism and incompetence”

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Mikhail Khazin is a Russian economist and analyst who is known for his sharp statements about economic and political events and news.

Mikhail Leonidovich is popular in the blogosphere, he is often invited as an expert in television and radio programs. Khazin's forecasts often cause heated controversy both on the part of the professional community and among the townsfolk.

Childhood and youth

Mikhail Leonidovich was born on May 5, 1962 in Moscow. His father, Leonid Grigoryevich Khazin, was a researcher at the Institute of Applied Mathematics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and was engaged in the theory of stability. Mom also devoted herself to science - she worked as a teacher of higher mathematics at the Institute of Electronic Engineering.

Khazin's grandfather, Grigory Leizerovich, was a prominent creator of the defense shield of the motherland - he participated in the creation of the Moscow air defense system. For this he was awarded the Stalin Prize in 1949.

Since childhood, Misha dreamed of following in the footsteps of his parents. The boy studied at a mathematical school, was going to enter the Mekhmat of Moscow State University. By coincidence, he was forced to first submit documents to Yaroslavl University, but already from the middle of his second year he transferred to Moscow State University. Mikhail was assigned to the Department of Probability Theory, where he learned mathematical statistics. Mikhail defended his diploma with a degree in statistics.

His younger brother Andrei Khazin is an academician of the Russian Academy of Arts, historian and art critic, professor at Moscow State University.

Many are interested in the nationality of Mikhail Khazin. Judging by the grandfather's name and patronymic, Grigory Leizerovich Khazin was a Jew, but according to the repeated assertion of Mikhail Leonidovich himself, they are Don Cossacks on the maternal side.

Career

Khazin first worked at the Institute of Statistics of the USSR State Statistics Committee with Emil Ershov. Then he became the head of the analytics department in a private bank. After that, Mikhail Leonidovich enters the civil service and begins a difficult career path through the Ministry of Economics to work in a specialized department under the President of the Russian Federation.

Mikhail's career prospects were greatly spoiled by his personal qualities (uncompromisingness, harshness, arrogance) and his bright, but "uncomfortable" public speeches, reports and articles for colleagues and superiors. He is fired from the service, so Khazin moves to work in the private sector, creates a business based on advising on building relationships with government agencies, as well as on auditing.

Gradually, he returns to work with large influential services and social institutions in the state, and in 2016, as a member of the Rodina political party, he takes part in the elections to the State Duma.

Mikhail Leonidovich is a prominent economist, therefore, in his work, he pays special attention to the economic component of the largest events in recent world history. Being an experienced analyst who is able to consider historical events from a different angle, he creates a number of theories about the global crisis and the reasons for its formation. It is not surprising that some of them are reflected in his publications. Several books about the crisis came out from Khazin's pen.

Together with like-minded Sergey Shcheglov, Mikhail Leonidovich publishes the book "Stairway to Heaven", which forces the reader to rethink the concept of Power and the unspoken rules of action if a person has it. The authors analyze events in politics and economics, otherwise they tell the stories of the formation and collapse of the owners of corporations with a worldwide reputation and the reputation of "unsinkable".

In 2017, he presented his new literary work - The Black Swan of the World Crisis. The book includes his articles from 2003 to 2017: results, forecasts, comments on the topic of the day. In fact, this is a chronicle of the development of the crisis that the world economy has been experiencing for about ten years now.

Mikhail publishes all his thoughts and comments in a blog on his own website, and also regularly voices them through the media. The economist at various times was the host and author of a number of socio-political programs on radio and television. His photos and author's columns were published in scientific and specialized economic journals. Now Khazin is a permanent guest expert on Ekho Moskvy radio and a columnist on their website.

Mikhail Khazin is a prominent figure in the media space. Each of his performances becomes an occasion for public discussions, the assessment of Khazin's words sometimes turns out to be polar - some call him "second", others take Mikhail's words for groundless "nonsense of a madman". One thing is clear for sure - the analyst is able to convincingly sort out his version of the development of events so that it is accessible and understandable to the general population. He uses a living language, speaks with warmth and passion.

In the early 2000s, Mikhail became the founder of a new economic theory that predicts a global crisis and a complete transformation of the world market. The analyst assigns the main role in this process to America. Therefore, Mikhail Leonidovich repeatedly predicted certain changes that subsequently actually took place in the United States of America.

Khazin was one of the first to talk about as a real candidate for the presidency of the country. Mikhail Leonidovich carefully analyzed the trends among lobbyists and the mood of citizens, also added to this the events predicted by the United States according to his author's economic concept, and said that Trump would be the winner.

Mikhail Khazin on Donald Trump's reforms

The analyst also announced Trump's victory in advance - according to his calculations, the US elections were democratic, and this is what allowed Donald Trump to win. He was voted for by the middle class and businessmen who wanted to keep their finances and corporations for the next four years.

He also predicted that the US president would dramatically change course in the political arena and be the first to advocate the redistribution of the spheres of influence of the United States, Russia, China and India in the world. Thus, these four countries will be responsible for maintaining peace in each of their spheres of influence. In the meantime, the US will be busy saving its own economy, even if it means a crash for the global market.

Mikhail Khazin in the studio "Echo of Moscow"

However, not all of Mikhail Leonidovich's predictions come true. For example, in 2009, he predicted a famine in Europe in three years, predicted oil at $25 per barrel and the dollar at 45 rubles, and millions of unemployed clerks on the streets of Moscow.

Personal life

Mikhail Khazin tries not to advertise his personal life. It is known that he has a wife, Alexandra, whom he married in 1993. In an interview, Mikhail Leonidovich let slip that he has a daughter. The girl lives in Japan, in Kyoto. And judging by Mikhail's social networks, her name is Anastasia. Whether the economist has other children is not known for certain.

Mikhail does not support relations with his younger brother Andrei. They haven't spoken in many years.

Khazin is a socially active person. Perhaps it is in all modern social networks. He maintains a blog on LiveJournal, has pages on Facebook,